UFC 315 Betting Lines & Odds for Saturday: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena Card Info

Last updated: May 9, 2025 7:04 PM EDT β’ 8 min read X Social Google News Link

Belal Muhammad looks to defend his welterweight title for the first time on Saturday against Jack Della Maddalena, who has won 17 consecutive professional contests. What do our UFC 315 odds and betting lines say about the challenger's chances of winning the belt for the first time in a coveted - yet young - career?
π UFC 315 weigh-in results
The weigh-ins were officially completed on Friday morning, and they went off without a hitch ... for the most part.
Both Jose Aldo (143 pounds) and Aiemann Zahabi (142 pounds) came in above the weight limit of a usual bantamweight bout (135 pounds). As such, the UFC has agreed to move the fight up a class to featherweight, with both fighters punching it under the 145-pound mark.
Here are the official weights for each fighter in the main card as of Friday morning:
- Belal Muhammad (170) vs. Jack Della Maddalena (170)
- Valentina Shevchenko (124) vs. Manon Fiorot (125)
- Jose Aldo (143) vs. Aiemann Zahabi (142)*
- Alexa Grasso (126) vs. Natalia Silva (126)
- Kyle Prepolec (156) vs. Benoit Saint Denis (156)
π UFC 315 betting insights
BetMGM has provided us with some unique betting insights in the week leading up to the card.
The main card is unsurprisingly dominating the most bet fights of the night. The co-main event between Shevchenko and Manon has received the most action, followed by Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena. Ion Cutelaba vs. Modestas Bukauskas is the third-most-bet fight with the popular sportsbook, despite being a prelim bout.
Looking at the split of percentage of bets, these are the top five:
- Kyle Prepolec (85%) over Benoit Saint Denis
- Valentina Shevchenko (79%) over Manon Fiorot
- Alexa Grasso (76%) over Natalia Silva
- Aiemann Zahabi (70%) over Jose Aldo
- Bruno Silva (60%) over Marc-Andre Barriault
Looking at the most popular props, these are the top five:
- Jack Della Maddalena by KO/TKO or DQ (+300)
- Belal Muhammad by Decision/Technical Decision (-115)
- Modestas Bukauskas by Submission (+1200)
- Belal Muhammad by KO/TKO or DQ (+700)
- Jasmine Jasudavicius by KO/TKO, DQ or Submission (+150)
π UFC 315 odds - Main Card
Festivities at Saturday's pay-per-view event begin at 6:30 p.m. ET (UFC Fight Pass) with the early prelims. Prelims start at 8 p.m. ET (ESPN/ESPN+), and the main event will get underway around 10 p.m. ET (ESPN+ PPV). Read on for the latest UFC 315 betting lines, as part of our UFC picks.
Hereβs our live breakdown of the UFC 315 odds and betting lines for the full card.
π₯ Belal Muhammad (24-3) vs. Jack Della Maddalena (17-2) odds
- Muhammad's a heavy betting favorite in his debut title defense against the division's No. 5 challenger
- Muhammad boasts a 16-3 record in the UFC, including a current 11-fight unbeaten run on his way to the welterweight title, which he won off Leon Edwards by unanimous decision at UFC 304
- Della Maddalena is unbeaten in his last 17 professional fights, and he has yet to lose in the UFC (7-0)
π₯ Valentina Shevchenko (24-4-1) vs. Manon Fiorot (12-1) odds
- Shevchenko enters her 11th consecutive title fight boasting a record of 9-1-1 in those bouts, but she's faltered lately, with one win, one draw, and one loss in her last three
- Fiorot's lone career loss came in her professional debut. The French fighter has won 12 consecutive contests, including seven in the UFC, with her last five coming by unanimous decision.
- Shevchenko is the underdog, even as the No. 1 ranked pound-for-pound women's fighter, with Fiorot ascending the ranks rapidly

π₯ Jose Aldo (32-9) vs. Aiemann Zahabi (12-2) odds
- Aldo had his recent three-fight streak snapped by now-champion Merab Dvalishvili. He got back to winning ways against unranked Jonathan Martinez before losing again in his last outing to Mario Bautista in a split decision.
- Zahabi has cracked the UFC rankings, on the back of a five-fight streak, as the bantamweight division's No. 14 contender
- The UFC Hall of Famer, now 38, must beat Zahabi if he wants any chance at one final title shot. Luckily for the 38-year-old, he's a significant betting favorite.
- This bout was changed to a featherweight clash due to a weight issue on Aldo's side prior to the weigh-in.
π₯ Alexa Grasso (16-4-1) vs. Natalia Silva (18-5-1) odds
- Grasso has split her last three fights, all of which came against the aforementioned PFP No. 1 fighter, Shevchenko
- Silva - the No. 5-rated flyweight fighter - hasn't lost in nearly a decade
- The Brazilian comes in riding a 12-fight winning streak, and while she's beaten tough competition like Jessica Andrade and Viviane Araujo, Grasso is a different beast entirely
π₯ Benoit Saint Denis (13-3) vs. Kyle Prepolec (18-8) odds
- Saint-Denis will fight Canadian Kyle Prepolec, who steps in on short notice for the injured Joel Alvarez
- Saint-Denis is listed as an overwhelming favorite, despite losing his last two scraps to Dustin Poirier and Renato Moicano
- Prepolec is fighting for just the third time under the UFC flag, he boasts a 0-2 record, having not fought in the competition since 2019
π UFC 314 odds - Prelims
π₯ Mike Malott (11-2-1) vs. Charles Radtke (10-4) odds
- "Proper" is the star Canadian taking part in the prelims, as he looks for his eighth win in his last 10 fights
- Radtke is looking to break into the welterweight rankings after a 3-1 (4-1 with a win) start to his UFC career
- Malott is the favorite fighting a few hours from home, despite Radtke's striking offering the American a lifeline
π₯ Jessica Andrade (26-13) vs. Jasmine Jasudavicius (13-3) odds
- Andrade looked poised for another title shot following three straight wins after her loss to Shevchenko. Unfortunately for her, she's dropped four of six since February 2023, and she's now at risk of dropping outside the top-10 in the flyweight division
- Jasudavicius has emerged victorious in her last four outings, upping her record to 7-2 since joining the UFC
- Both have suffered losses to Natalia Silva in the last three years
π₯ Modestas Bukauskas (17-6) vs. Ion Cutelaba (19-10-1, 1 NC) odds
- Bukauskas picked up his most dominant victory of his UFC career last time out, knocking out Rafael Cerqueira inside of the first round for his second win on the bounce
- Cutelaba has saved his UFC career recently with a 3-1 record over the past couple years
- This is one of the closest fights on the entire card to call, as evidenced by each individual's betting odds
π₯ Navajo Stirling (6-0) vs. Ivan Erslan (14-4-0, 1 NC) odds
- Stirling got off to a scorching start to his professional career, beating Tuco Tukkos by unanimous decision in his UFC debut
- Erslan wasn't as lucky as his opponent, losing to the aforementioned Cutelaba by split decision during his introduction to the competition
- Given these results and how little we know about each fighter, Stirling is a significant favorite to remain unbeaten (7-0)

π UFC 314 odds - Early prelims
π₯ Marc-Andre Barriault (16-9-0, 1 NC) vs. Bruno Silva (23-12) odds
- Barriault and Silva are two of the most experienced fighters anywhere on the card, never mind in the early prelims
- Barriault hopes to get back to winning ways on home turf following three consecutive defeats
- Silva is struggling even more than his Canadian counterpart, dropping six of his last seven, with the lone win coming in April 2022 over Brad Tavares
π₯ Daniel Santos (12-2) vs. Jeongyeong Lee (11-2) odds
- Santos has yet to be finished in his career, losing just twice overall by decision, but racking up six knockouts in the process
- Lee's eight-fight win streak came to a crushing end when he was beaten by KO/TKO in the first round by Hyder Amil
- Both fighters boast 2-1 records since joining the UFC, with Santos suffering defeat in his debut and Lee losing his last outing
π₯ Brad Katona (16-4) vs. Bekzat Almakhan (11-2) odds
- Katona kicks off the day for Canadians on the UFC 315 card. The veteran is looking to get back to winning ways after dropping two of his last three
- Almakhan suffered a first defeat in four years when he was bested by Umar Nurmagomedov
- Seeing as the latter took the now-No. 3 ranked bantamweight to a decision in his last outing, it should be no surprise to see him listed as a slight favorite to get UFC 315 underway
π» UFC 315 info
ποΈ When: Saturday, May 10
π Where: Bell Centre (Montreal)
πΊ How to watch: Early Prelims (6:30 p.m. ET) - UFC Fight Pass; Prelims (8 p.m. ET) - ESPN; Main Card (10 p.m. ET) - ESPN+ PPV
π Best UFC betting sites
Looking to bet on UFC 315? Here are our best UFC betting sites as determined by our expert team at Sportsbook Review, along with our best sportsbook promos available for the latest UFC event.
- Caesars Promo Code: SBRBONUSDYW | Read our Caesars Review
- BetMGM Bonus Code: SBRBONUS | Read our BetMGM Review
- bet365 Bonus Code: SBRBONUS | Read our bet365 Review
- FanDuel Promo Code | Read our FanDuel Review
- DraftKings Promo Code | Read our DraftKings Review
(21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER)
* Bonuses not applicable in Ontario.
Not intended for use in MA.
Each betting site featured on SBR has been meticulously researched and selected by our team of experts. If you sign up through our links, we may get a commission.

Gabe Henderson X social